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TPS NFL Weekly Locks: Week 6

by: JamieD On  Friday, October 16, 2009
Tags:  Football   Gambling   NFL   Odds   Picks  

ray-lewisTotal Pro Sports – Another weekend.  Another .500 record as our picks were once again 2-2. The Vikings easily took care of the Rams and covered the large spread in the process, while the Cleveland and Buffalo engaged in an offensively-challenged game, which was great news for those who took the underdog Browns, like us.  As for the Steelers and Jets, late game collapses on defense would end up being costly for both favorites (although the Steelers still won the game) as neither was able to hold on for the cover.  With that being said, we currently stand at 9-11 on the year and continue to look for the big week that will dig us out from below the .500 mark.

Here is how we see things shaping up in four games for week six of the NFL season.

Game: Baltimore Ravens @ Minnesota Vikings

Pick: Under 44 1/2

Reason: When the Ravens visit Vikings in the Metrodome on Sunday, it will be a battle between two of the NFL’s top defenses.  While the numbers may not indicate such, make no mistake about it, both teams can create headaches for opposing offenses.  When you take into consideration the fact that both teams bolster powerful running games and have allowed an average of under 20 points per game, the clock will be moving in this one and the total should remain under what we believe to be a rather high 44 1/2

Game: Philadelphia Eagles @ Oakland Raiders

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -14

Reason: It may seem like a rather high spread for a road favorite, but when you consider the fact that the opposition is the Oakland Raiders, this spread could be thought of as being to low.  The Eagles got starting quarterback Donovan McNabb back last weekend and used their passing game to torch the Bucs.  Now they will face a Raiders team that is equally bad defensively and much worse offensively.  Expect the Eagles to put points on the board with both their offense and their defense, while the Raiders will be lucky to end up with anything that is not a goose egg.  The Eagles will win big in this one.

Game: Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets

Pick: New York Jets -9 1/2

Reason: Anyone who witnessed the the sorry excuse for a football game this past Sunday at Ralph Wilson Stadium will know why we are making this pick.  Anyone who didn’t only needs to look at the 6-3 score in favor of the Cleveland Browns over the Bills and that is reason enough to like the Jets.  With the Bills only able to put up 3 points against a poor Browns defense, it is hard to believe they will be able to tally much more, if any, against a stout Jets defense.  Add to this the fact that Rex Ryan and his team will be eager to bounce back after a Monday night loss to the Dolphins, and we have a strong possibility for a blowout in favour of the Jets.

Game: Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chargers

Pick: Denver Broncos +3 1/2

Reason:  Both teams in this Monday match up find themselves in opposite situations as most would have expected in the beginning of the season.  The Denver Broncos are 5-0 while the Chargers stand at a mediocre 2-2.  The Broncos bolster the leagues top scoring defense, allowing only 8.6 points against per game, while the Chargers rank near the bottom, allowing a surrendering a disappointing 25.5 points against per game.  While we don’t believe this game will turn out to be a blowout, as the numbers may indicate, but expect this divisional match up to be a close one, and if that is the case, the Broncos hold the edge judging by their history in lose games thus far this season.

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