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TPS NFL Weekly Locks: Week 8

by: JamieD On  Friday, November 6, 2009
Tags:  Football   Gambling Lines   Handicap   NFL   Picks  

favre-rodgersTotal Pro Sports – Things looked great for a while.  It seemed like we were about to embark upon that much needed 4-0 week.  The Colts were in the process of slaughtering the Rams and easily covering the large 13-point spread, and the Bills and Panthers were being their usual selves, struggling to put points on the board.  Then there was the Vikings, who were also keeping themselves within the given 5 1/2 points and driving for the game tying field goal (or game winning touchdown) late, and the Jets had things locked up at 31-0 in the dying moments of their beatdown of the Raiders.  Yes, things looked great.  And then disaster struck.  The Colts would hold on and the Bills and Panthers would stay under the total, but a late bobble by Chester Taylor (where the f*ck was Adrian Peterson) would result in a pick-six, and an unneeded Shonn Greene 33-yard touchdown run late in the 4th quarter would eventually leave us at 2-2.  It was not what we were looking for but at least we did not fall into a deeper hole, leaving us at 12-16 on the year.  Our luck has to turn around sometime, and hopefully this is the week.

Here is how we see things shaping up in four games for week eight of the NFL season.

Game: Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

Pick: Vikings +3 1/2

Reason: They may have failed us last week, but we are once again going to go with the Minnesota Vikings as an underdog, this time against the Packers.  It may be tough playing in Lambeau but if there is one man who knows how to do it, it is Brett Favre.  He and his Viking teammates will be geared up for a big performance in this one.  Expect them to control the game on offense with Adrian Peterson, and Favre will surely get his opportunity to throw the ball.  They were able to pick apart the Packers defense last time and should do the same here.  As for the Green Bay has the ball, their offensive line has struggled, and that will mean Aaron Rodgers will have to deal with Jared Allen more often than he would like.  Expect that to cause plenty of troubles and even some turnovers in a game that the Vikings should be able to keep within 3, if not win outright.

Game: Carolina Panthers @ Arizona Cardinals

Pick: Arizona Cardinals -10

Reason: Last week the Cardinals forced a total of four turnovers on the road against the New York Giants.  Now they will return home to take on a Panthers team that has been turnover friendly all season.  After evaluating his quarterback situation, John Fox has decided to stick with Jake Delhomme, but don’t be surprised if that changes by the end of this game.  The Panthers do have one of the leagues most dangerous rushing attacks, but the Cardinals rank 1st in the league in riushing defense, and will force Carolina to move the ball through the air.  That is not good news for the Panthers, but we think it will be great news for those who take the Cards in this one.

Game: Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens

Pick: Under 41 1/2

Reason: The Denver Broncos currently lead the league in scoring defense, allowing only 11 points against per game.  While the Ravens have not been their usual impressive self in that category, allowing 21.7 points against per game, they should be well prepared for Denver’s offense coming off a bye.  Expect both team in this one to be focused on establishing a rushing attack and controlling the clock.  The Ravens should have trouble throwing the ball against a tough Broncos secondary and the although Kyle Orton has been impressive, don’t expect Josh McDaniels to give him the green light to put on an air show on Sunday.  Look for this game to be a tight, hard hitting, defensive battle between two AFC powerhouses, which should stay under what some would consider to be a rather large total.

Game: Cleveland Browns @ Chicago Bears

Pick: Chicago Bears -13

Reason: After the beating they took at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals last week, it may be hard to bet on the Bears, but there is no better way to get over such a loss than a meeting with the terrible Browns.  Cleveland has been atrocious on both sides of the ball, ranking 30th in points scored (10.3 PPG) and 27th in points allowed (25.6 PPG).  Quarterback Derek Anderson appears to be incapable of completing a pass over 5 yards and there is no reason that should change this week.  Cutler and the Bears will be out for revenge in front of their home fans and the Browns will be their whipping boys.  Look for Chicago to win big in this one.

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