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NCAA Football Weekly Locks: Week 3

by: JamieD On  Friday, September 16, 2011
Tags:  Betting   NCAA Football  

We got off to a good start in our first week, with Alabama and Michigan coming through for us.  Mississippi State’s inability to punch the ball in from the goal line on the final play of their game against Auburn prevented us from going a perfect 3-0, but a 2-1 start isn’t all that bad.  With a marquee BCS matchup and an important conference game among this week’s picks, we will look to give you all another winning weekend.

Here is a look at those winners we are talking about.

Game: Oklahoma @ Florida State
Pick: Oklahoma -3
Reason: The Seminoles enter this epic Saturday night contest as the underdogs, but many people seem to believe that they will eventually come out on top of this game after 60 minutes.  Not me!  The Sooners have the better quarterback in Landry Jones, and one of the best receivers in the nation in Ryan Broyles.  E.J. Moore may be good, but he still has plenty to prove.  Look for Oklahoma to limit him while Jones and the Sooners’ up-tempo offense should keep the Florida State defense off balance and put up enough points to earn the victory and cover the spread.

Game: Michigan State @ Notre Dame
Pick: Michigan State +5.5
Reason: This was supposed to be Notre Dame’s year, but after two games it hasn’t looked like that.  After losing to unranked South Florida and Michigan, why should we believe that the Irish will finally turn things around against No. 15 Michigan State?  Four of the last six matchups between these two teams have been decided by three or less points, and Spartans head coach Mark Dantonio is 3-1 against Notre Dame.  Look for the Spartans’ ground game to control the ball and lead Michigan state to the cover and the win.

Game: Stanford @ Arizona
Pick: Stanford -8.5
Reason: Perhaps the most important stat to pay attention to in this game is the Pac-12-worst 58 rushing yards per game that Arizona has averaged through its first two games against Northern Arizona and Oklahoma State.  As for Stanford, they have allowed only 28.5 rushing yards against per game.  If Arizona becomes one-dimensional, it will either lead to a shootout, or a trouncing, both of which we believe will go in favor of the Stanford Cardinals.  Without a running game to control the clock, look for the Wildcats to struggle to keep up with Luck and the Cardinals suddenly powerful running game during this contest Saturday night.

Last Week’s Record: (2-1), 2011 Record: (2-1)




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