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NCAA Football Weekly Locks: Week 5
LSU is quickly becoming our favorite team to bet on, as they continue to win and cover the spread in the process. As for Clemson, their victory over Florida State showed that they are a force to be reckoned with in the ACC. Unfortunately for us, Oklahoma was unable to make a statement against Missouri, beating them by only 10 points. That left us with yet another 2-1 week, our third in a row. We’ll be looking to put together our fourth consecutive winning weekend with our week five picks, but rather than posting another 2-1 record, we’ll be gunning for the perfect 3-0.
Here is a look at the picks that we believe will get the job done for us.
Game: #3 Alabama @ #12 Florida
Pick: Alabama -4
Reason: The Crimson Tide have already beaten two ranked opponents this season, and they will look to make Florida their third when the two teams hook up in the Swamp on Saturday. Flordia’s offense has looked dynamic with Charlie Weis calling the plays, but they will be up against an Alabama defense that has dominated their opposition, as they currently rank second in the nation in points against (8 per game) and lead the SEC in points against, rushing yards against and total yards against. Alabama has also won and covered the spread in the last two meetings between these two teams. Look for Trent Richardson to help the Crimson Tide control the clock as their defense shuts the Gators’ offense down and earns them the victory.
Game: #13 Clemson @ #11 Virginia Tech
Pick: Clemson +7
Reason: These two teams haven’t met since 2007, so you can throw away all the head-to-head statistics. With that being said, Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS in their five games this season, while Clemson is 3-1 ATS thus far. Clemson has already proven themselves against tough competition in Auburn and Florida State, while Virgina Tech hasn’t looked like a dominant team against the likes of Marshall, Arkansas State and East Carolina. The Tigers have plenty of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball, and we expect them to shine in this game, as the Tigers cover the spread. And who knows? They may even be able to come away with the impressive road victory at Lane Stadium.
Game: UCLA @ #6 Stanford
Pick: Stanford -21
Reason: When these two teams met last year, Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck wasn’t all that impressive, completing 11 of his 24 pass attempts for 151 yards an two touchdowns. The Cards still won by a score of 35-0. This time around the Cardinals head into this matchup with the nation’s best run defense and the fourth best scoring defense (9 points against per game). As for UCLA, they have lost to Houston and were thumped by Texas at home by a score of 49-20. As for their two wins, they were nail-bitters against poor squads from San Jose State and Oregon State. The Bruins will be lucky if they can put any points on the board in this game, let alone reach double-digits. That should make it awfully easy for Stanford to cover the three-touchdown spread.
Last Week’s Record: (2-1), 2011 Record: (6-3)