2011 Weekly NFL Locks: Week 7

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Both the Bears and the Packers cruised to victories in week 6, but the Patriots couldn’t cover their six-point spread, despite coming away with the victory over the Cowboys.  That left us one game short of a perfect weekend for the second Sunday in a row, but the 2-1 record for week 6 does bump us further above the .500-mark for the year.

Here is a look at what we like for week 7’s games.

Game: Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Pick: Packers -9.5
Reason: The Packers continue to dominate their opposition, as they have won each of their last four games by at least ten points.  In addition to a 6-0 record on the season, the Packers are also 5-1 against the spread.  As for the Vikings, they are coming off a 39-10 beating at the hands of the Chicago Bears on Sunday night and they have covered the spread only once in their last five games.  Look for Aaron Rodgers to take advantage of a weak Vikings pass defense, and the Packers defense should force rookie quarterback Christian Ponder to commit several turnovers.  That should result in a lopsided victory for Green Bay.

Game: Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins
Pick: Broncos Pick
Reason: Not only has Miami failed to win a single game thus far this season, but they are also 0-5 against the spread.  The Broncos are not much better with similar 1-4 records straight up and against the spread, but there is reason for optimism in Denver with Tim Tebow stepping in at quarterback.  Tebow looked good after taking over for Orton during the Broncos’ last game, and he and his team had the bye week to get ready for this week’s game.  The Dolphins, on the other hand, will be playing in a short week after getting beat 24-6 by the Jets on Monday night.  This may be a road game for the Broncos, but with many of the fans expected to be cheering on former Gator Tim Tebow tomorrow afternoon, it should feel like a home game for them.  Look for them to take advantage and come away with the victory.

Game: Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Pick: Ravens -9
Reason: The Ravens have quietly been one of the best teams in the AFC this season.  They are 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread in their first five games this season.  Their defense is ranked seventh against the pass, third against the run, third in total defense and first in scoring defense.  Now they will get to take on a Jaguars offense that is ranked last in the league in total yards and second last in scoring.  Look for Baltimore to dominate on both sides of the ball, as they cruise to the easy Monday night victory.

Last Week’s Record: (2-1), 2011 Record: (9-7-2)

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