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NCAA Football Weekly Locks: Week 10

by: JamieD On  Friday, November 4, 2011
Tags:  College Football   Gambling   NCAA   Picks   Spread  

cornhusker cheerleader

Week nine did not turn out as we had originally planned, as we were handed our first losing weekend of the season.  Oklahoma State rolled to the easy victory, but neither Clemson nor Kansas State were able to keep their games even remotely close, leaving us with a 1-2 record and dropping our overall record to 16-8.  With all of the winning we had been doing throughout the first eight weeks of the season, I guess it was only a matter of time before we had a bit of a setback, but we are ready to bounce back immediately with our week ten picks

Here they are.

Game: #1 LSU @ #2 Alabama
Pick: Alabama -4.5
Reason: Here it is!  The match-up everyone has been waiting for has finally arrived.  For the first time in history, two SEC teams that are ranked 1 and 2 in the nation will meet prior to the conference championship game.  You’d have a tough time finding a closer match-up than this, which usually means the underdog is a good play, but I can’t help but think otherwise.  Both team’s defenses are just about even and LSU may be better on special teams, but Alabama appears to have two important advantages in this game; their offense and home-field advantage.  While LSU has proven that they can beat ranked teams on the road, they haven’t faced a team as good as the Crimson Tide in front of a crowd like the one they will be confronted with at Bryant-Denny Stadium.  Look for running back Trent Richardson and quarterback AJ McCarron to be the difference as the Roll Tide rolls to the victory and the cover.

Game: #13 Houston @ UAB
Pick: Houston -27.5
Reason: The Houston Cougars are 8-0 this season and have been averaging 453.3 passing yards and 52.3 points per game (both best in the nation) while allowing 24.8 points against.  As for UAB, they are 1-7 on the season and are allowing 35.1 points against per game, while scoring only 14.9 points per game.  Cougars quarterback Case Keenum already has 32 touchdown passes and only three interceptions thus far this season, and on Saturday he will be up against one of the worst defensive units in the nation.  This game has “Houston blowout” written all over it.  Look for them to win big and cover the 27.5-point spread in the process.

Game: Northwestern @ #10 Nebraska
Pick: Nebraska -17
Reason: After an embarrassing loss to the Wisconsin Badgers, the Nebraska Cornhuskers have put together three straight victories, including wins against Ohio State and Michigan State.  Last weeks’ 24-3 victory over the Spartans was their most impressive performance of the season, and they should be able to build off it when they take on a Northwestern team whose defense is currently ranked at the bottom of the Big Ten.  The Cornhuskers’ ground game has been phenomenal, averaging 252.1 rushing yards per game.  Look for them to control the clock and the tempo of this game, as they come away with the easy victory against an over-matched Northwestern team.

Last Week’s Record: (1-2), 2011 Record: (16-8)




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