| Pos |
Team |
Player |
Comments |
Best Case/Worst Case |
Change |
| 1 |
 |
Andre Smith, Alabama, OT |
A stout left tackle at 6'4', 330. He is equally good as a run blocker or in pass protection. Stafford is the popular pick here, but poses a risk that Detroit cannot afford to take. Smith is safe, and will be a force for the next decade. |
B- Walter Jones
W- Leonard Davis |
- |
| 2 |
 |
Michael Crabtree, Texas Tech, WR |
With the top OT going number one, the Rams decide not to reach on a lineman. Instead, they take the best player and biggest lock in the draft to eventually replace aging Torry Holt. The thinking here is value. |
B-Michael Irvin
W-Keyshawn Johnson |
2 |
| 3 |
 |
Matt Stafford, Georgia, QB |
Filling a desperate need, the Chiefs make a desperate decision in taking the biggest arm of the draft. They have their work cut out for them though, as he needs a lot of work from the neck up. Boom or bust. |
B-Jay Cutler
W-Kyle Boller |
- |
| 4 |
 |
Mark Sanchez, USC, QB |
Huge upside, but needs some polishing. Hasselbeck's future is up in the air in Seattle, and his best days are behind him. Sanchez will take no more than one year to learn, and will be ready to lead in 2010. |
B-Carson Palmer
W-Trent Edwards |
6 |
| 5 |
 |
Aaron Curry, Wake Forrest, OLB |
A one man army! Curry will be a beast pass rusher from jump in Cleveland's 3-4. A no brainer for a team that needs a lot of help. |
B-Demarcus Ware
W-Julian Peterson |
- |
| 6 |
 |
Jason Smith, Baylor, OT |
Smith's stock has not yet matured. He is turning a lot of heads quickly, and could end up in the top three. The Bengals need to keep Carson Palmer healthy to have any shot. This player is special, and is not done growing! Huge upside, but needs strength. |
B-Tony Boselli
W-Joe Staley |
- |
| 7 |
 |
Eugene Monroe, Virginia, OT |
Al Davis will think about taking speedster Jeremy Maclin here, but will get better value with Monroe, who will protect Jamarcus Russell as he learns to read NFL defenses. |
B-Chris Samuels
W-Jeff Backus |
- |
| 8 |
 |
Malcolm Jenkins, Ohio State, CB |
The best corner in the draft--period. This is the logical choice for a team that has to deal with Reggie Wayne and Andre Johnson twice a year. |
B-Champ Baily
W-Antoine Winfield |
- |
| 9 |
 |
BJ Raji, Boston College, DT |
With the hiring of Dom Capers as the new DC, Green Bay needs a monster nose tackle to anchor its new 3-4 scheme. Look no further at 330 plus pounds. Raji's play during Senior Bowl week has made him a virtual top ten lock. |
B-Kris Jenkins
W-Barry Cofield |
- |
| 10 |
 |
Michael Oher, Ole Miss., OT |
Fans may want a "sexier" pick than a tackle here, but the 49ers led the NFL in sacks allowed in '08. This upgrades two spots on the O-line by allowing Joe Staley to move to the right side, where he belongs. |
B-Orlando Pace
W-D'Brickeshaw Furgeson |
8 |
| 11 |
 |
Brian Orakpo, Texas, DE |
The best pure DE in the draft with enormous ability, Orakpo may not slide to eleven, but he will not get past the Bills. Buffalo desperately needs a pass rusher, and this guy is explosive. |
B-Julis Peppers
W-Adewale Ogunleye |
- |
| 12 |
 |
Peria Jerry, Ole Miss, DT |
Denver passes on a running back, yet again, seeing more value in powering up that run defense which surrendered an average of 5.0 yards per rush in '08. |
B-Tommie Harris
W-Brodrick Bunkley |
15 |
| 13 |
 |
Everett Brown, Florida State, DE |
A need pick here. An aging group of ends has caused diminished productivity at that position. The Redskins will be considering the future with this decision. |
B-Mario Williams
W-Jamaal Anderson |
- |
| 14 |
 |
Vontae Davis, Illinois, CB |
In a weak draft for DB's, New Orleans takes the best one still on the board to sure up that porous pass defense. |
B-Nnamdi Asomugha
W-Will Allen |
- |
| 15 |
 |
Jeremy Maclin, Missouri, WR |
Finally, another threat to take pressure off of Andre Johnson. They are not the same team when he is hurt. This pick could change all that. Huge threat in the return game, as an added bonus. |
B-Santana Moss
W-Devin Hester |
- |
| 16 |
 |
Ray Maualuga, USC, ILB |
His potential has no ceiling. He slides to 16 due to character and work ethic concerns. San Diego finally replaces legend Junior Seau with a guy who might be even better. No Moreno here. L.T. stays put for at least one more year. |
B-Junior Seau
W-Lavar Arrington |
- |
| 17 |
 |
Percy Harvin, Florida, WR |
The Jets desperately need someone to stretch the field. Harvin is a big play guy who can do just that. It's a mystery who will be throwing to him though. The Favre watch is fully underway. |
B-Steve Smith
W-Sinorice Moss |
9 |
| 18 |
 |
Michael Johnson, Georgia Tech, DE |
Pure speed and agility! A sack specialist, which the Bears have a great need for. Best player available considering the needs they have. |
B-Javon Kearse
W-Gaines Adams |
- |
| 19 |
 |
Knowshon Moreno, Georgia, RB |
It would be a shocker for Moreno to slide this far, considering his insane skill set. The depth of this draft could make this a reality, though. Tampa would be thrilled. |
B-LaDainian Tomlinson
W-Brian Westbrook |
- |
| 20 |
 |
Alex Mack, California, C |
Trade From Dallas: First, Detroit selected the best left tackle in the draft. They now have the chance to select the best center prospect in years. Senior Bowl week made him a first round lock. |
B-Andre Gurode
W-Matt Birk |
8 |
| 21 |
 |
Brandon Pettigrew, Oklahoma State, TE |
McNabb needs this for Philly to stay in the hunt. There are no wide outs available at 21 that pose good enough value to pass up the best TE in this draft. |
B-Tony Gonzalez
W-Jason Witten |
- |
| 22 |
 |
Josh Freeman, Kansas State, QB |
Three glaring needs for the Vikes: QB, WR, and DB. Minnesota takes a bit of a reach on a huge quarterback with a huge arm, and huge up-side. |
B-Ben Roethlisberger
W-Jim Druckenmiller |
11 |
| 23 |
 |
Aaronn Maybin, Penn State, OLB |
Slightly undersized backer who plays big, with excellent speed from the edge. The Pats OLB's aren't the youngest group in the league. Maybin will fit well in the New England 3-4, and produce some much needed sacks. |
B-Shawn Merriman
W-Manny Lawson |
10 |
| 24 |
 |
Chase Coffman, Missouri, TE |
Could be considered a "reach", but Coffman is the best receiving tight end in this draft, and Matt Ryan needs a security blanket on third downs. He will be huge in the red zone. |
B-Antonio Gates
W-Dallas Clark |
- |
| 25 |
 |
William Moore, Missouri, S |
Miami fills a need here rather than taking another pass rusher. Moore is a big kid and a big hitter, and will improve the secondary immediately. |
B-LaRon Landry
W-Josh Bullocks |
- |
| 26 |
 |
Brian Cushing, USC, OLB |
Baltimore needs a speed receiver badly, but are forced to replace free agent Terrell Suggs with the best OLB available, keeping that defense an elite group. |
B-Terrell Suggs
W-Bobby Carpenter |
3 |
| 27 |
 |
Chris Wells, Ohio State, RB |
Wells runs a 4.5 and slides to 27. The Colts have to get stronger in the running game. Indy becomes a two-headed backfield, with Wells and Addai. Wells obviously plays the "Smash" role. |
B-Larry Johnson
W-Eddie George |
15 |
| 28 |
 |
James Laurinaitis, Ohio State, ILB |
Trade From Carolina: The Eagles elect to choose the best player available to add some speed to the middle of their defense. Laurinaitis will be great in coverage and in Jim Johnson's blitz packages. |
B-Derrick Brooks
W-Andy Katzenmoyer |
9 |
| 29 |
 |
Kenny Britt, Rutgers, WR |
Britt is 6'4" and highly athletic. If he runs in the 4.4 area at the combine, he could go higher. Britt will begin filling the void left by Plaxico Burress. |
B-Plaxico Burress
W-Reggie Williams |
- |
| 30 |
 |
Derrius Heyward-Bey, Maryland, WR |
Tennessee needs a deep threat receiver to complete their offense. Heyward-Bey is tall and fast, but raw. Boom or bust pick. |
B-Santonio Holmes
W-Charles Rodgers |
- |
| 31 |
 |
LeSean McCoy, Pittsburgh, RB |
In Arizona's offense, this makes perfect sense. Edge James probably won't be coming back, leaving a big hole to fill. This becomes a two back system, with McCoy as "Dash". |
B-Chris Johnson
W-Kevin Faulk |
- |
| 32 |
 |
Ebon Britton, Arizona, OT |
Pittsburgh is thrilled that Britton has slid to them. Since Roethlisburger won't get rid of the ball on time, they need guys to protect longer. Could be Phil Loadholt here if Britton goes sooner. |
B-Jordan Gross
W-Ryan Diem |
- |
Andy Camden…I’ve said it many times: I’d love to be a personnel guy in the NFL, even for a weekend! Seriously though, while I appreciate the kudos, I don’t think the Rams will be ringing my phone off the hook any time soon. What they will do, assuming Andre Smith goes number one, is take Crabtree or trade the pick. It is clear to me, at this point, that there are only two players in the entire draft worthy of being selected in the top two: Smith and Crabtree. With the needs the Rams have, seeing that wideout is not a pressing concern, they will probably be looking to trade down. Philly might just be the team. They need a great receiver, currently hold two first round slots in this draft, and have a history of mortgaging future draft choices. Keep your eyes on that. A deal like that should make you as happy, if not happier than getting Crabtree.
Bonus: The Seahawks will still be screwed!
Kyle…The San Diego situation should be much clearer before the draft. LT will be due his roster bonus before then. With the defensive needs San Diego has, I don’t see them drafting a first round running back while LT is still on the roster, but I could be wrong. Again, there are some quality backs that they should have a shot at in round two AND three, if they want to limit his carries.
My gut on Moreno has been that he will go at or below number 12, because someone will try to trade up in front of Denver. In my next mock draft, expect some shocking changes because all the combine information will be in, and Moreno might end up as early as six to Cincinatti. By then, most of the scouts and GM’s will know what I know…that HE IS AWESOME, but we’ll see. If he is still on the board when Houston is on the clock, they should get EXCELLENT trade value for thier pick.
I see Cushing, Johnson, Kruger, English, Maybin, and even Everett Brown in the same category. They are all talented but incomplete players with glaring weaknesses that pose risk. I wouldn’t draft any of them before 20, based on film, and only two of them in the first round at all (Johnson and Brown). I’m in love with Orakpo and, like most, I think Curry is a superstar in waiting. If you can’t get one of those two guys, and you aren’t interested in Maualuga, TRADE down, and still get your guy. The Baltimore deal would work perfectly for you, assuming you could get a first rounder next year. That’s a long way to move without getting two first round picks.
Of course, you could just take Maclin and score 35 points per game. You wouldn’t even need a defense if you could do that. I know, I know…I’ll back off.
one more question,
the safety position is a big need in H-town, you have Moore dropping to 25 and not another one going until Dallas picks up Delmas midway through the second. i know this isn’t the strongest draft at this position but do you see either of these players making any headway in the draft.
for example i was looking at walterfootball.com and they had Delmas going 28 to philly.
is millen back in det. or what ? 3 OL in the first 3 picks that high is millenesque stupidity . right side OL and C can be had throughout the middle rounds of the draft and won’t warrant the costs asssociated with top 50 selections .
threecubed…I know linemen can be gotten in the later rounds. Detroit’s offense is full of them. If you want the same results, don’t change anything!
Kyle…Delmas is turning a lot of heads, including mine. His size is the lingering question mark for me, in terms of being selected in round one. I have him graded as an early second round prospect, but I will reserve final judgement until after the combine. He was much improved in ‘08, and had an awesome Senior Bowl week–a fast riser for sure.
Moore is heading in the opposite direction, regressing somewhat in ‘08, and did not impress during Senior Bowl week. He is full of great tangibles, but will probably be out of round one by my next mock draft. Again, I would like to see how he competes at the combine.
I respect the walter football site, but I disagree with them on the 28th pick. Brian Dawkins may be a little on the “senior” side, but he is coming off a pro bowl year and has one to two more good years left. Also, the Eagles drafted FS, Quintin Demps last year. If they were in the market, they would probably be targeting a strong safty, which Delmas is not. Patrick Chung would be their pick in round two, if he’s available and Donald Brown (RB) is gone. Chung is the best pure strong safety in this draft, which is a much more pressing need for Philly than free safety.
There are no first round lock safties this year, and really weren’t last year either, even though one was selected late in round one. At this point, no team should be targeting a safety in round one, now that Moore has slid.
While we’re on the subject…Watch how high Taylor Mays goes NEXT year (USC). He is the freakiest athlete I’ve ever seen at safety. Top ten lock!
agreed about Mays the guy is freakish athlete and, being a DB. Al Davis would fall all over this guy at 7 if he had come out this year… probably why he didn’t now that i think of it.
Are you serious? Are you a Matt Millen fan, a Packers fan, Bears fan, a vikings fan? Must be to even think the Lions are going to take three linemen with there first three picks. One of the worst mock drafts I have ever seen. You have them passing on two of the best LB’s in this draft and the Best CB in this draft for OL’s? OL’s they can get later in the draft. Come on.. Do some homework before you post.
Are all you Lions fans the same or what? I’ll tell you what, let me change the draft for you. I’ll have Detroit takes Stafford number one (bust). Aaron Maybin number twenty (bust), and Sen’Derrick Marks number thirty-three (bust). That should make the Lions fans cheer for a while, until Stafford breaks his leg behind that sad, SAD, SAAADDD o-line, and Detroit finds out that Maybin, at 240 lbs, is unable to shake blocks at this level, and Marks is an underachiever who will never realize his potential. Back to the number one pick next year, for the Lions to ignore the obvious yet again. The linemen I have Detroit taking are safer picks than any of the other players available at those spots. When was the last time Detroit was the best at anything. If they pick these guys, by 2010, they will have the BEST o-line in the league. Do you want to win, or do you want to do what is popular? Unfortunately, you can’t have both.
Do you think the Colts we go for an LB in round 3? Which LBs might be around at that time?
Canadian Colts…In the Colts defense, speed is SOOO important, and the type of linebacker they typically draft is a smaller, faster guy, that can be gotten in the later rounds, so I’d be surprised if they used a number three on a LB. If this draft pans out close to the way I’ve projected it, then Evander Hood in round two will be their guy, as good DT’s are tougher to get later on. In round three, if they were looking for a LB, they could target Tyrone McKenzie from South Florida. He’s a sub 4.6 guy and has decent size. Another possibility is Marcus Freeman from Ohio State. The Colts love those big ten guys, and Freeman gives them versatility, which they demand from thier linebackers. Freeman would be my choice, if we were looking linebacker in round three. A lot depends on who is available to them in the first two rounds. This might be the year that they take one earlier, depending on who slides to them at 27, but most linebackers that go in round one are pass rusher types. As you know, the Colts don’t blitz often, so a pass rushing LB would be a waste in their defense.
This is a good draft for the Colts to improve, however, because it is deep in the areas they need to address (interior o-line, interior d-line, and linebacker). Of course, if Wells actually is there at 27, they could not pass him up. We’ll have to see how it all plays out.
Jags:The best corner in the draft–period. This is the logical choice for a team that has to deal with Reggie Wayne and Andre Johnson twice a year.
What about the left tackle that has to face Freeney, Mario Williams and Vanden Bosch twice a year? A 350 pound second round right tackle prospect? The Jags would be much better off with Oher and DJ Moore or Zo Smith. And until they have a left tackle on roster at all, I can’t see them passing on a quality guy in first.
bryan…I feel your pain. Unfortunately, as you will see in April, Michael Oher is sliding down draft boards, and doesn’t figure to go until the teens or later. As you know, the other three are gone by the time the Jags pick. I would have had the Jags select either of the two Smiths or Monroe, had any of them been there at eight. Oher is NOT WORTH A #8 OVERALL SELECTION. Malcolm Jenkins is, however. They will not reach simply to fill a need! No team that likes to win acts so desperately. Loadholt could play immediately at right tackle, and could eventually become a left tackle. He has developed some bad habbits in college, due to the shotgun system he constantly blocked out of, but with some NFL coaching and experience, he could develop into a very nice NFL left tackle.
By the way, on the right side you have to deal with (twice per year) Robert Mathis, Javon Kearse, and whoever Houston drafts HIGH to play opposite Mario Williams. Don’t fool yourself. You need a right tackle too. Your left tackle, Khalif Barnes is better there than Tony Pashos(?) is on the right side. An ideal situation would be to trade up in the draft to get one of the “big three”, allowing Barnes to move to the right side.
The only thing I can do to help you is to suggest that you call Jacksonville and ask them to trade up, if you feel it’s THAT big of a need. Keep your chin up. There’s always free agency. Best of luck!
Let me have my retort to your are all Lions fans the same. First of all I am not a LIons fan I am a former scout who is now a writer. I look at a lot of mock draft sites so I can come up with ideas for articles pertaining to the draft. Now the fact that in a salary cap league you have the Lions drafting a center, who I agree is very talented, who has a center they just signed to a large contract extension a year ago shows you have not done your homework. So, instead of sarcasm lets take a look at possible picks. Monroe or Smith for the first pick. Laurentis, Malaluga, Cushing. for there second pick in the first round. All fill pressing needs and not salary cap complications. Or do you think that Paris Lenon is a legit starter in the NFL. In the second round Kruger or Moore will fit the bill. They will not take a guard all thou they need one, because they have two guards under contract and if they want a guard they will look to the third round where they have two picks.
Now just because you say that some is going to be a bust doesn’t mean that he will. Unless you are at the combines or view hours of film and interview people then you are making assumptions without knowledge.
Thank you for allowing me to retort your comments.
Matt…The great thing for you about this situation is that you can say whatever you want about your credentials, and there is absolutely no way I can prove you wrong. I guess we’ll all just have to take it at face value that you are a “former scout”. As far as being a writer…hey, welcome to the club! Going forward, I suggest that we leave our resumes out of it.
I’ll make a deal with you. If I can systematically tear your argument to shreds, will you then rest this ridiculous case? No? I didn’t think so. I can only assume then, that no matter what I say, you will not be dissuaded, right?
Well, what the heck…Let’s discuss this charge that I’ve not done my homework–specifically that I have the Lions taking Alex Mack. First of all Mack is an EXTREMELY versatile interior lineman who can, AND HAS, played all three spots between the tackles. If you had done YOUR homework, you would have to concede that versatility and/or dominance is what gets and interior lineman drafted in round one. Mack is both! NEXT
I can’t believe that I’m going to have to respond to the “contract extension” argument that you posed, but…being a former scout, you should have the access and opportunity to ask SCORES of players what kind of security that provides. You can start with the notable case of Shaun Alexander a couple years ago, in Seattle. NEXT
Monroe or Smith…I agree, surprisingly enough. I have Smith ahead of Monroe, at this point, but all the information is not in. We’ll see there. At number 20, I don’t see how you could justify taking a linebacker at all. The Lions spent a HIGH first rounder on Sims (strong side) a few years ago, and drafted Jordan Dizon last year in the second round to play the middle. Unless you’re suggesting that ANY team should spend a number one draft choice on a weak side linebacker, I think YOU should re-evaluate your reasoning. If Maualuga were available, he would be worth taking as a substantial upgrade in the middle, allowing them to also upgrade the Will by moving Dizon over. Unfortunately, Maualuga will not be there! I would have had them take a defensive player at 20, if there were any VALUE corners, ends, or tackles available. There simply is not. Being familiar with the cap, you must understand why value is so important. NEXT
I will concede that if Detroit lands a versatile interior lineman at 20, they will most likely not select O-line again in round two. Again, I saw value by selecting Robinson with the 33rd pick, but failed to recognize (initially) how they could move their existing guys around to upgrade at least one of the guard spots. That was not from lack of preparation. It was merely an oversight. This draft took me a few hours. An NFL GM has months to prepare. My bad. Chances are extremely good that Robinson won’t be there anyway because he is such a talented prospect. I agree that Kruger or Moore would be strongly considered at the top of round two, and my updated mock (after the combine) should reflect something similar.
The only assumptions I make is which teams will select these players. Every team has their own philosophy on how to draft players. Some favor need over best player available, for example. Some weigh value over need. Some draft system specific guys, while others love the measurables. I can’t predict exactly how the draft will go. No one can. What I do have plenty of knowledge about, sir, is how to evaluate talent. I’m not going to get into my resume, but YOU are the one making assumptions about my background and experience without having any knowledge of it.
Thank YOU for allowing me to retort your comments.
There’s no way Detroit uses their first 3 picks for the O-Line. Coach Schwartz has already expressed his feelings about being able to work with Backus and Cherilus. The defense is too much in need of so many positions that I am led to believe that they will use only one of their first 3 picks on an O-Line pick.
Chris…at this point, I’m inclined to agree with you. They need a legit PREMIERE left tackle, allowing Backus to move inside or to the right tackle spot. Cherilus could stay put or move inside, depending on what happens with Backus. Even if they are happy with their center, it is clear to me that they need a dominant and versatile interior lineman as well. For a team that literally needs everything, the possibilities are endless, and value will play a key role as to who they select when. The Lions are not short on drama during draft season. We’ll see what happens.
As a Lions fan, I understand how over-due the improving of the O-Line is… Thus, I understand why you would put the first 3 selections as O-Line. Unfortunately I see the Lions taking Stafford (when I personally think Sanchez is better), and probably an ILB with the 1b pick.
In my fantasy world, I would hope that Detroit would trade a 2nd and a 3rd round pick to New England for Matt Cassel, but unfortunately with Scott Pioli in KC I can see him moving there.
Should be an interesting draft, but I’m really concerned about being pro-active in the free agency this year… This could make it an easier draft to conduct.
Nice to see a 2nd round added. Good touch.
If things unfold for Detroit as you believe, I will drink a very cold Stella Artois to your good health.
Over all good draft I hope that the Lions do draft for need and take 3 ol for the future..They can get d help in the later rounds no big names but an upgrade over what they have now..Next year draft d and in a couple of years a contender unless all the top draft picks refuse to play in big D ala Eli Manning the cry baby. It makes a lot of sence to concentrate on one side of the ball first..O linemen take a couple of years to gel and reach their potential so I think its a no brainer for the Lions.I also don’t see raiders drafting Monroe Big Al loves his speed burners so for a curve ball Percy taken here..Does Al Davis have a thing for wide receivers running routes in shorts???Speed,Speed Speed is what makes Al Davis HOT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
florida ted…I agree with you on the Lions 100% but, as you will see in my updated mock draft (3.0), they will likely not do what I have suggested. With a new defensive coach, I now see them focusing on defense with two of the top three. I don’t think it is the right thing to do, but I think it is the easy thing to do for them, and will draw less media and fan backlash.
The truth is that Detroit needs help at every position, and no strategy should fail, assuming they choose good football players.
Al Davis’s speed fetish is well chronicled, but he will find speed in round two. He won’t find a franchise tackle in round two. We’ll have to see. Thanks for your comments!
As for the lions: 1) There will be many QB’s with great potential to take in 2010, they should wait until next year 2) As for taking all OL’s with 1st 3 picks – it probably won’t happen but they need to beef up both lines and there will not be as many highly graded OTs coming out next year, 3) there are only 3-4 D-line & LB’s in the 1st rd that fit 4-3. If the lions can get them fine but they must take the best available and it could be O-linemen. 4) Detroit has plenty of room under the cap to keep all of the OL’s