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2009 NFL Draft: Top Inside Linebackers

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James LaurinaitisTotal Pro Sports - Alright, with all the underclassmen having made their intentions known, it’s time to begin picking these guys apart, learning their strengths and weaknesses, and basically doing the scouts jobs for them. With what I’ve seen in past drafts, the chances are very good that we won’t do any worse.

For our first order of business, why not start with another excellent question posed by TPS member, “Canadian Colts”, who asks, “Which linebacker will be the better pro prospect, James Laurinaitis (Ohio State) or Ray Maualuga (USC)?” This comparison is a tricky one, and will be hotly debated among NFL analysts and personnel people all the way up to draft day.

First of all, were I a General Manager in need of an excellent inside linebacker, I’d be thrilled to have these two guys to choose from. I’d have to carefully consider the type of defense I like to run, and the attributes that are required for a linebacker to be dominant in my defense. Maualuga has the size advantage, measuring in at nearly 6’3” and roughly 260 lbs. Laurinaitis is also about 6’3”, but tips the scales at just over 240 lbs. That is a substantial difference and should favor Maualuga on draft day. Usually with size, however, comes decreased speed—no exception here. Laurinaitis is a bit faster, expecting to run in the 4.55 range at the combine, while Maualuga expects to run in the 4.65 neighborhood. If you look at the game film, both of these guys are excellent tacklers, great at diagnosing plays, and at hunting down ball carriers from sideline to sideline. They are both intelligent, with outstanding football instincts, and are rarely out of position, though both have been burned at times for being overaggressive. As far as leadership and character, both are excellent leaders on the field, though Maualuga has had some trouble off it.

For me, physicality and versatility are the keys to this assessment. Talent evaluators value players that they can plug into more than one spot, and still feel comfortable that the job will get done. In Maualuga, you have a player that could easily play the “Mike” (middle linebacker in a 4-3 system) in all defensive schemes except the “Tampa-two”, the “Sam” (strong side linebacker in a 4-3), or the “Will” (weak side in a 4-3). If you run a 3-4, he is the ideal inside linebacker, which is the scenario where he would be most successful right away. He has enough burst and tenacity to be an excellent pass rusher in blitz situations, the size, strength, and ferocity to play the middle, and some of the best zone coverage skills I’ve ever seen in a college linebacker, enabling him to thrive in the 3-4 system. His ability to read the quarterback’s eyes, and defend or intercept passes are as good as many pro free safeties, and will be heavily weighed as evaluations are completed.

Laurinaitis is somewhat less versatile, but could play inside in the 3-4, and could easily play the Will in a 4-3, though he is not physical enough to play Sam. He is pretty solid in coverage and better in man coverage than his Trojan counterpart, primarily due to speed, but he is not a big hitter on receivers or ball carriers. I have serious doubts about his ability to be a long term solution at middle linebacker in most 4-3 systems. Based on what I’ve seen, I don’t think he’s tough enough to play there in the NFL. I know that some people won’t see it that way, but the film doesn’t lie. He can be, and has been, consistently handled by pulling guards and occasionally fullbacks. Once engaged, he doesn’t shake blocks well. He has utilized his speed to simply avoid blocks much of the time at the college level, and has been successful doing that, but that task will not be as easy in the NFL. Considering that his greatest asset is obviously his speed, he would be PERFECT as a Tampa-two Mike linebacker. The problem is that there are really only three teams that use the Tampa-two as their base defense—Indy, Chicago, and Tampa Bay. In each case, you have an aging and/or injury prone starter in place (Gary Brackett, Brian Urlacher, and Derrick Brooks), making Laurinaitis a tough player to pass on for those teams. Chicago has more pressing needs in round one, as does Tampa. Indy might consider him late in the first round, but is pretty happy with Gary Brackett, though he spent the end of the ‘08 season on injured reserve. Whether or not the Colts pass on Laurinaitis may depend upon the prognosis of Brackett’s injury.

My final determination is that Maualuga will make a much better pro. The NFL is a man’s league, and Ray is definitely that. He is an intimidating hitter, an emotionally driven physical player, and extremely versatile. Laurinaitis is not intimidating at all, and not nearly physical enough. He is somewhat versatile, but his exceptional speed at inside linebacker will be his primary selling-point. At the end of the day, Maualuga is a top 20 LOCK—look for San Diego to take him at 16. Laurinaitis gets selected early in round two, probably by one of the three Tampa-two teams trading up to get him. He has an outside chance of going at the end of round one, but due to the depth of this draft and the fact that inside linebackers are typically seen as “players that can be gotten later”, it would be a mistake to take him in the first. I’ve heard the media talk about Laurinaitis like he’s the next Dick Butkus, so that mistake may very well be made.

For NFL GM’s everywhere, take heed: The way you separate the first round talent from the rest of the draft is simple…You draft first round guys to make your system successful. You draft the rest if they’d be successful in your system. Enough said.

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  • Comments

    10 Responses to “2009 NFL Draft: Top Inside Linebackers”
    1. I would love to see Ray Maualuga in San Diego playing alongside Shawn Merriman that linebacker combination may be the toughest of any other team if it were to happen.

      There is a linebacker that may have been lost in all the hype and that is the senior linebacker at Wake Forest named Aaron Curry. He stands at 6-3 and about 245 and is athletic, with great speed and is not afraid to sacrifice his body to make a tackle.

      If you watched the game they played against Ole Miss this year he was all over the field making plays. Maualuga and Laurinaitis will get more attention because of where they play but do not sleep on Curry.

    2. Curry should be the top LB drafted–probably in the top 5, but is a top 10 lock. He is an outside backer, though, and will be examined in another article. I agree, he is a one man army.

    3. Canadian Colts said on

      Thanks again Chad. You have provided a nice analysis to my question. Up here in Vancouver its hard to get quality NCAA coverage on t.v. Its great to see that you have responded to my questions, you really know your stuff.

    4. Chad Ellis said on

      No problem. Get your friends involved, if you can. This whole series is all about football fans and their questions or comments on the draft. You ask it, I’ll analyze it. You can track the articles on the blog page under the link, “Let’s talk talent”. Keep ‘em coming. By the way, I’m a major Colts fan too. Have been for years. Poor Dungy–poor Colts, for that matter. WE NEED A RUNNING GAME!!!!!

    5. Ohio State Football said on

      Speed is much more important than size in football today. Draft James first!

    6. If he had the toughness, I’d agree. We are talking about a MIDDLE linebacker here–speed doesn’t factor in as heavily. Dick Butkus. Mike Singletary. Ray Lewis. James Laurinaitis. Which name doesn’t belong? Laurinaitis is a sweetheart compared to those guys, and will be best in a smaller, more finesse, speed-built defense, like the Colts. Maualuga is much more like his great predecessors.

    7. Is it just me or does Laurinaitis remind you of ex-Buckeye Bobby Carpenter? I could be wrong here becasue I don’t remember Carpenter too fondly since he played alongside A.J Hawk.

      Ray Maualuga will be drafted ahead of Laurinaitis and it would be a big mistake if that did not happen. When I look at a player like Maualuga and see the tremendous upside, I don’t see how a team can pass on him. He’s just got that animal instinct about him, few players have that in the league, not to say that Laurinaitis will not be a terrific pro, but he fits the Brian Urlacher molf where Maualuga plays like Troy Palamalu in a linebackers body.

    8. You hit the nail on the head, Chico. “Barbie” Carpenter, as teammates have referred to him, is not the toughest of linebackers either, but did possess great speed. Inside linebacker is a spot where toughness and wrecklessness should be valued more so than speed.

      By the way, change your name and move before Urlacher hears that you compared him to “Jay Lau”. Urlacher and Laurinaitis had one thing in common on their respective draft days–speed. Urlacher is the epitome of a tough guy.

    9. I think both would make great players in the NFL and just because Laurinautis ain’t the biggest guy don’t really mean jack shit. Yeah Rey is a big tough sumbitch but he could be a liability in pass coverage.

    10. It could potentially play out that Laurinautis could turn out to be a great pro, but I believe there is a difference between strength and physicality, Lautinautis is strong but in the NFL a linebacker must be physical he does not have that. I think that will hurt him in the draft.

      As for Ray that is the reason he is not a top 10 pick if you read the mock draft, people question his work ethic. To maintain weight in order to maintain quickness is a huge part of work ethic. He will still be a force just because of his shear intensity I would take that over lack of quickness.

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