2010 NFL Weekly Locks: Week 1

nfl locks week 1

It is finally here!  After seven long months of waiting we have finally made it to week one of the 2010 NFL season.  And that means it is also week one of every gamblers five month trip to paradise.  It is never easy to make predictions on week one games because there is little to base our judgments on, but that isn’t going to stop us from trying.

And with that, we give you our Week One edition of TotalProSports.com’s 2010 NFL Weekly Locks.  Hopefully we can live up to that name.  Here are our picks for what should be an entertaining opening week.  Enjoy them with caution.  Good luck to you all.

The Game: Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears
The Pick: Over 44
The Reason: These two teams met twice in 2009 and scored a total of 132 points (48-24 in the first game and 37-23 in the second).  That is an average of 66 points scored per game.  We should also note that last season the Chicago offense struggled mightily at times and Lions’ quarterback Matthew Stafford was only a rookie getting adapted to the speed of the NFL.  In 2010, the Bears are expected to play more of a run-n-gun style with Mike Martz running the offense. As for the Lions, many believe that their offense will be greatly improved now that Stafford and Calvin Johnson have had a year to adapt to one another, not to mention the additions of Jahvid Best and Nate Burlesson.  When you consider these factors, there is little reason to believe that this game wont turn into another shootout.

The Game: San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
The Pick: 49ers -3
The Reason: This is expected to be the year that the 49ers emerge from the rubble to take over the reins as the top team in the NFC West.  If they are going to do so, they will have to start off with a victory in Seattle.  The Seahawks were dreadful last season and things are not expected to get any better in 2010.  With few playmakers on either side of the ball, Seattle will be in tough against the 49ers strong defensive unit and power running game.  Look for San Fran to wear down Seattle’s defense with Frank Gore while shutting down the Seahawks’ inept offense.  Betting against the Seahawks at home has never been a good idea in the past, but these are clearly not the same Seahawks.

The Game: Oakland Raiders @ Tennessee Titans
The Pick: Titans -6
The Reason: The Tennessee Titans got off to a rough start in 2009, but after making a quarterback change and going with Vince Young under center, they ended the season on an 8-2 run.  Now with Vince Young beginning the season as the starting quarterback, you can expect the Titans to begin 2010 were they left off last season.  And that could mean trouble for the Oakland Raiders.  Even after acquiring Jason Campbell to play the quarterback position, the Raiders still find themselves with a lack of offensive weapons.  Looks for Chris Johnson to have a field day running the ball, and the Titans defense should have little trouble with what appears to be a weak Oakland offense.  Tennessee should take this game at home and easily cover the six-point spread.

Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Pick: Over 44.5
Reason: With no health concerns surrounding Tom Brady heading into the 2010 season, I expect him to once again dominate opposing defenses.  He may not score another 50 touchdowns like in 2007, but it may not be completely out of this world to expect somewhere around 40 from the three-time Super Bowl champion.  And even against a tough Bengals secondary, I still expect him to put up a lot of points.  As for the Cincinnati offense, they added a new toy in Terrell Owens and Carson Palmer should have plenty of opportunities to use him against a young and inexperienced Patriots secondary.  And as long as the Bengals are scoring, Brady will make sure the Pats do the same.  Expect to see an air show at Gillette Stadium on Sunday.

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