2010 NFL Weekly Locks: Week 2

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Week one could have gone better for us, but it also could have gone worse.  The Tennessee Titans won their game against the Raiders and left little doubt in the minds of gamblers from the start as they easily covered the six-point spread.  Things looked to be equally going well for us in the battle between the Lions and the Bears, as the total at halftime was an impressive 27 points.  But with Matthew Stafford out for the Lions, both teams struggled to get anything going on offense in the second half and the total fell short of 44 points, much to our chagrin.  As for our third one o’clock game, things went according to plan as Brady’s airshow took flight in New England, and when it was all said and done, the 68 total points was more than enough to help the game go over the 44.5 point total.  That left us at 2-1 heading into the four o’clock games.

With only one more game on our board, it appeared as though we were on our way to a 3-1 week, and it certainly looked like that as the 49ers controlled the first quarter of action against the Seahawks, but after a few missed chances the Seahawks came roaring back on route to a 31-6 victory.  The loss left us at 2-2 on the week, and 2-2 on the season.

Now it is on to week two of TotalProSports.com’s 2010 NFL Weekly Locks. Going .500 is never a bad thing, but we will certainly look to improve upon that record going forward.  Here is a look at our pick for this weekend.

The Game: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans
The Pick: Under 37.5
The Reason: The Pittsburgh Steelers will once again be without the services of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and that means their offense should once again struggle.  They had a tough time scoring against the Atlanta Falcons in week one, putting up only nine points in regulation.  This week they will be up against what should be an even tougher Titans defense in Tennessee, so you can expect the Steelers offense to provide a similar output.  As for the Titans offense, they too will have a tough time putting points on the board.  Chris Johnson is always a threat to break the big one, but he will be in tough against a Steelers defense that gave up only 57 yards to the speedy back in their meeting last season.  While it would be wishful thinking to expect the Steelers to keep Johnson contained in a similar manner, they should be able to slow him down enough to ensure that this game stays under the total.

The Game: Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons
The Pick: Falcons -6.5
The Reason: My oh my, the Arizona Cardinals sure have fallen from grace.  Without Kurt Warner, their offense looked incredibly inept last weekend in St. Louis.  This weekend Derek Anderson will lead his troops into Atlanta to take on a Falcons team that is looking to bounce back after a disappointing overtime loss in Pittsburgh.  The Falcons offense was equally bad in their opener, but much of that can be attributed to a stellar Steelers defense.  Now Matt Ryan will get to play at home in the friendly confines of the Georgia Dome, where has a career record of 13-1.  In their eight home games last season, the Falcons won five of them by at least seven points.  Look for them to surpass that total once again this weekend against the Cards.

The Game: Houston Texans @ Washington Redskins
The Pick: Texans -2.5
The Reason: Few teams looked better in week one than the Houston Texans.  A team that many thought would rely heavily on a dominant passing game showed that their ground game should not be ignored.  It will be tough to expect Arian Foster to repeat his 231-yard performance, but he should once again be able to help the Texans establish a running game, and that should help open up the likes of Andre Johnson, Jacoby Jones and Owen Daniels in the passing game.  As for the Washington Redskins, they came out of their Sunday night battle against the Dallas Cowboys with a victory, but you can credit the Cowboys’ mistakes for that, more so than the Redskins’ play.  Don’t expect the Texans to make even close to as many mistakes as the Cowboys, and the result will be another victory for the Lone Star State’s other team.

Game: Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Pick: Broncos -3.5
Reason: The Seahawks looked impressive in their week one victory over the San Francisco 49ers, but don’t expect their run of good play to continue into week two.  Much of what unfolded last Sunday can be attributed to the home field advantage in Seattle, which is among the league’s toughest places to play for visiting teams.  Now that the dust has settled on that home opener, and Pete Carroll’s debut performance is over, the Seahawks will take their show on the road, which has always been a problem for them.  Last season they went an awful 1-6 on the road, with their only win coming against the last place Rams.  In their six losses, they were defeated by an average of 22 points, with their closest loss being a 31-20 defeat at the hands of the Cardinals.  Look for the Broncos, who have a solid record in home openers, to win this game and cover the 3.5-point spread in the process.

Overall Record: 2-2 (Last Week’s Record: 2-2)

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