2010 NFL Weekly Locks: Week 6

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Last week our picks fell victim to the excruciating last-minute touchdown.  The battle between the Bengals and the Bucs appeared to be headed under the 38-point total.  However, a late mental-lapse by the Bengals defense, and some great grabs by the Bucs’ receivers, helped Tampa punch home the game-tying touchdown with only 52 seconds left on the game clock, putting the game over the total.  In New Orleans, the last-minute heartbreak was even more dramatic.  With the Saints trailing by three and only 24-seconds left in the regulation, Drew Brees was looking to set his team up for a game-tying field goal.  However, an ill-advised pass on the first play of the drive would land in the hands of Cardinals cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, who returned it for a touchdown and put the game over the total.

That’s right!  An interception by Drew Brees with only 24 seconds remaining gets returned for a touchdown and helps cap another disappointing 1-3 week for us.  That leaves us at 8-12 on the season, but we are confident that these bounces have to start turning in our favor at some point.  Will this be the week?

Here is a look at our TotalProSports.com 2010 NFL Weekly Locks for week six.

The Game: Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles
The Pick: Falcons +2.5
The Reason: Five weeks into the season it may be fair to say that the Falcons are currently among the most under-rated teams in the league.  Having lost their only game of the season in overtime during a Week 1 battle with the Steelers, the Falcons have since reeled off four straight wins and will be looking for a fifth when they travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles.  With Vick still nursing a rib injury, Kevin Kolb is expected to start and should have his hands full against a Falcons defense that is currently giving up the second fewest points per game in the league thus far.  Look for Matt Ryan to control the ball on offense and put some points on the board, while the Atlanta defense should be able to control the Eagles weak offensive line and pressure Kolb into some costly mistakes on route to a cover, and a big road victory in Philadelphia.

The Game: Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
The Pick: Bears -6
The Reason: It is not often that you will find a team that can win after their quarterback throws four interceptions, but somehow the Bears found a way to do just that last week against the Panthers.  Now that they have Jay Cutler back, their passing game should not be as big of an issue when they take on the Seahawks at Soldier Field Sunday.  The Seahawks remain one of the worst road teams in the league, as they not only have a tendency to lose games away from home, but they often find themselves losing big.  This week should be no different when they take on a Bears team that has been solid on defense, allowing just over 14-points per game against.  Look for Julius Peppers and company to limit the Seahawks offense, while Cutler should be able to take advantage of Seattle’s 31st ranked pass defense on route to a win, and the cover.

The Game: Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers
The Pick: Miami +3
The Reason: The Green Bay Packers came into the 2010 season with high expectations, but those have since diminished due to numerous key injuries on both sides of the ball.  Aaron Rodgers is expected to start after suffering a concussion last weekend, but he will be without his star tight end, Jermichael Finley, who may miss the rest of the season with a knee injury.  On the defensive side of the ball, the Packers will be missing Nick Barnett, and could be without Clay Matthews.  That should make things easier on Chad Henne and the Dolphins offense, who will be looking for a strong performance coming off their bye week.  The Dolphins have had a lot of time to prepare for the Packers potent offense, and they will want to bounce back after an embarrassing loss at the hands of the Patriots.  Green Bay has struggled at home thus far this season, beating the Lions by only two before losing to the Redskins last weekend.  Their last three games have been decided by three points or less, and we expect the same outcome here as the Dolphins should  keep things tight in hopes of pulling off a big road victory.

Game: Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Redskins
Pick: Colts -3
Reason: When it comes to managing a game, there may be no quarterback in the league better than Peyton Manning.  His ability to take what the defense gives him is unmatched, and that should be on display once again when the Colts travel to Washington to take on the Redskins in what should be an entertaining Sunday nighter.  Look for Manning to take advantage of a Redskins offense that is currently ranked last in the league in total yards against, and 30th against the pass.  As for the Redskins offense, they have done most of their damage through the air as their ground game has struggled.  That is good news for the Colts, who have the ability to defend the pass, but have struggled against the run at times this season.  Look for them to be able to slow down the Redskins’ offense and put the ball into the hands of Peyton Manning enough times to allow him to build a comfortable lead as he guides his Colts to the win, and the cover.

Overall Record: 8-12 (Last Week’s Record: 1-3)

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