2010 NFL Weekly Locks: Week 7

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It was another rough week for us, but we were almost bailed out with a 2-2 record until the Colts allowed a late touchdown to the Redskins’ Keiland Williams which left them with a 3-point lead, and left us with a push.  Couple that with a some poor performances from both the Chicago Bears and the Atlanta Falcons, and a strong showing on the road by the Miami Dolphins against a banged up Packers squad, and we were left with a rather sub par 1-2-1 record in Week 6

The last few weeks have been tough on most betters, and we are clearly no exception.  However, not even being at the halfway point of the season yet, there is still plenty of time to bounce back and improve our 9-14-1 record. We look to begin that uphill climb in week 7.  Wish us luck.  It looks like we are going to need it.

Here is a look at our TotalProSports.com 2010 NFL Weekly Locks for week seven.

The Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
The Pick: Falcons -3.5
The Reason: I had the Falcons listed as one of my picks last weekend and they rewarded me with an incredibly disappointing effort against the Philadelphia Eagles.  This weekend I will turn to them once again with hopes that they can redeem themselves, and the numbers indicate that they can.  The Falcons are 10-2 against the spread coming off a loss with Mike Smith as their head coach and Matt Ryan is 11-3 ATS within the friendly confines of the Georgia Dome.  Couple that with the fact that the Bengals have struggled mightily thus far this season and we like the Falcons to bounce back with a big win following last weekend’s tough loss.

The Game: Washington Redskins @ Chicago Bears
The Pick: Redskins +3
The Reason: Donovan McNabb will make another appearance in his hometown of Chicago, where he is 4-1 in his career, but this time he will be wearing a different jersey for his visit.  We don’t expect that to change the type of success he has had there.  The Redskins have not been overly impressive thus far this season, but they have been able to keep themselves in games, as two of their three losses were by only 3 points.  As for the Bears, they started off strong but have lost two of their last three, with the only win coming against a terrible Carolina Panthers team.  Losing to the Seattle Seahawks at home does not bode well for any team, and after last week’s showing, we have a hard time believing that the Redskins can’t come into Soldier Field and upend the Bears as well.  Look for this game to remains close, with McNabb once again leaving Chicago with a victory.

The Game: San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers
The Pick: 49ers -2
The Reason: The 49ers have been a huge disappointment thus far this season, but with their first win of the season coming last weekend, perhaps this is the point where they begin to turn things around.  The 49ers have struggled to defend the pass at times, but they wont have to worry about that against the Panthers, who rank dead-last in the league in passing offense.  That should allow the 49ers stout run defense to concentrate on stopping DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart, while San Fran’s rushing offense should be able to expose the Panthers 26th ranked run defense.  With plenty of these match-ups working in the 49ers favor, we expect them to leave Carolina with their second victory of the season.

Game: New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers
Pick: Patriots +3
Reason: When you consider all the injuries that the Chargers are currently dealing with, and the fact that they have already lost to the likes of Kansas City, Seattle, Oakland and St. Louis this season, it is hard to believe that they can be favored against the 4-1 Patriots.  However, the Chargers do hold a 2-0 record at home, but with those wins coming against the Cardinals and the Jaguars, we are still not impressed.  Look for the Patriots to take advantage of a San Diego team that will be without the likes of Antonio Gates and Malcolm Floyd.  That should limit Philip Rivers’ options, and while we still believe that he will be able to put up some points against a weak Pats’ secondary, look for Brady to better him in that department as New England cruises to a big road victory.

Overall Record: 9-14-1 (Last Week’s Record: 1-2-1)

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