2010 NFL Weekly Locks: Week 8


It may be fair to say that we were one injury away from an much needed 4-0 week.  While the Atlanta Falcons, Washington Redskins and New England Patriots all did their part to win their respective games and cover the spread, the San Francisco 49ers failed to hold onto their lead against the Carolina Panthers after an injury to Alex Smith forced David Carr into action.  And those who forgot just how bad Carr was were reminded by his 5-of-13 performance which included a costly interception with just over a minute left in regulation, which helped set up the game-winning field goal for the Panthers.

Thanks to Carr’s heroics (yes, I am being sarcastic), a 4-0 week was quickly turned into a 3-1 week.  That leaves us at 12-15-1 on the season, but we are slowly creeping back towards the .500 mark.  Hopefully we will be greeted with another solid performance this weekend.

Here is a look at our TotalProSports.com 2010 NFL Weekly Locks for week eight.

The Game: Tennessee Titans @ San Diego Chargers
The Pick: Titans +3.5
The Reason: The San Diego Chargers continue to lose games, but for some reason they continue to be favored against stronger opponents.  That was the case last week when they fell to the New England Patriots, and it is once again the case in week 8 as they get set to take on the Titans.  Tennessee currently finds themselves on top of a tough AFC South, and most impressive of all is their 3-0 road record, which includes victories over the Giants, Cowboys and Jaguars.  They will take their show on the road once again, hoping to stay unbeaten away from home.  Look for the Titans to keep the Chargers’ defense off-balanced with playmakers like Vince Young, Chris Johnson and Kenny Brit.  As for the Chargers offense, they will be without the services of some playmakers of their own at the wide receiver position.  Expect Tennessee to keep things close, with the final result likely coming down to a late field goal as the Titans cover the 3.5-point spread.

The Game: Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
The Pick: Steelers +1
The Reason: The New Orleans Saints of 2010 have been nothing like the New Orleans Saints of 2009.  However, the oddsmakers seem to still have hope as they have them favored over a Steelers team that is making a name for themselves as the top team in the entire NFL.  The Steelers defense has been lights-out all year, allowing over 20 points for only the first time last weekend against the Dolphins.  Saints quarterback Drew Brees has struggled mightily as of late, throwing 8 interceptions in his last three games, so you can expect the Pittsburgh defense to get after him early and often as they attempt to force him into some bad decisions and turnovers.  As for the other quarterback in this game, Ben Roethlisberger appears as though he hasn’t missed a beat, recording five touchdowns and only one interception in two games after returning from a four-game suspension.  Look for Big Ben and the Steelers to continue to roll as we expect the better team to come out on top of this Sunday night battle.

The Game: Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Pick: Over 46
The Reason: The Buffalo Bills have struggled to put wins on the board, but they certainly have not struggled to put points on the board in recent weeks.  Since Ryan Fitzpatrick took over for Trent Edwards in week three, the Bills have averaged 26 points for per game.  But what really makes us like the over in this game is the fact that over the course of those four weeks, Bills games have averaged an amazing 63.25 total points.  This weekend they will travel to Kansas City to take on a Chiefs team that has seen a couple of high scoring games of their own in recent weeks.  After losing a 35-31 shootout to the Houston Texans in week six, the Chiefs had more scoring in them as they were involved in yet another high scoring affair when they beat the Jaguars by a score of 42-20.  These two teams have clearly been putting up a great deal of points as of late, and we don’t expect that to stop now.  Expect there to be a shootout at Arrowhead this weekend, as the total should easily surpass the 46-point mark.

Game: Houtson Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Pick: Colts -5.5
Reason: When these two teams squared off in week one, it was the Arian Foster show as the big bruising back ran for a remarkable 231 yards and three touchdowns.  While he should be able to put up some big numbers against a weak Colts run defense once again, we expect this Monday night battle to turn into the Peyton Manning show, rather than the Arian Foster show.  During that week one meeting, Manning was also impressive, posting 433 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions.  However, his performance was overshadowed by Fosters big outing, and the 34-24 loss that his Colts suffered.  Now he will be out for some revenge.  Manning has not lost to the same team twice in one season since 2002, and he is especially dangerous coming off a bye, winning his last 5 games while throwing 13 touchdowns and only three interceptions as the Colts have averaged 36 points in those games.  Look for Indianapolis’ offense to dictate the pace of this game, as they should be able to do enough scoring to get them the win, and cover the 5.5-point spread in the process.

Overall Record: 12-15-1 (Last Week’s Record: 3-1)

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