NCAA College Football Pick’em: Week 10

oregon cheerleader and duckie

Finally!  A number-one ranked team held its position, and we were the beneficiaries.  After watching Alabama, Ohio State, and Oklahoma fall in their defense of the top-spot in the polls, Auburn made sure they would not be the fourth No.1 team to fall by crushing Mississippi in a 51-31 route.  Even number two Oregon was victorious during a week that many were calling “Roadblock Weekend”, as several of the top teams found themselves facing some rather stiff competition.  One of those teams who didn’t escape “Roadblock Weekend” unscathed was Missouri, who fell to a tough Nebraska team.

We were lucky enough to roll the dice with Auburn and Oregon, but Missouri’s loss would leave us just short of a perfect weekend, as we had to settle with a 2-1 record.  That leaves us at 14-9-1 on the season.  We will look to continue our strong run of picks in week ten.  So without further ado, here they are.

Game: (6) Alabama at (10) LSU
Spread: Alabama -6.5
Pick: Alabama
Reason: It isn’t often that LSU loses at home, but we have a feeling that this weekend’s game against the Crimson Tide in Baton Rouge will be different than most games.  While the Tigers do have one of the nation’s toughest defenses, they also have one of the worst offenses, ranking 101st in total offense and 73rd in scoring.  They have also had problems protecting the ball, ranking near the bottom in the SEC in turnover ratio.  That is especially worrisome with Alabama coming to town, as the Tide currently holds the SEC’s best turnover ration.  With a proneness to scoring few points and committing plenty of turnovers, it is hard to imagine LSU hanging withing a touchdown of Alabama on Saturday.

Game: Washington at (1) Oregon
Spread: Oregon -35
Pick: Oregon
Reason: With Jake Looker at quarterback, the Washington Huskies have little chance of hanging with the Oregon Ducks.  Without Looker, they have none.  The Ducks rank first in the nation in total offense and total scoring, and we don’t expect the Huskies defense, which is allowing an average of 34 points against per game, to slow them down one bit.  As for the Washington offense, they looked terrible last weekend against Stanford, putting up a goose egg.  Now they will be without Looker, who sustained a broken rib last weekend, and will be replaced by freshman Keith Price.  Playing at home, against a poor Huskies team that is starting a freshman quarterback?  I’d probably consider taking this line if it were at 50, let alone 35.

Game: Hawaii at (4) Boise State
Spread: Over/Under 65.5
Pick: Over
Reason: Two of the nation’s most potent offenses will square off at Broncos Stadium on Saturday when Boise State looks to continue their dominance at home against the Hawaii Warriors.  Both teams have had few problems putting up points thus far this season.  Boise State ranks 2nd in the nation in scoring with 47.7 points per game, while Hawaii ranks 11th with 39.2 points per game.  Hawaii quarterback Bryant Moniz has been on a torrid pace this year, posting an impressive 3247 yards and 25 touchdowns through nine games.  Look for Hawaii to move the ball effectively through the air and put up their fair share of points, and of course, we would expect Boise State to come close to doubling that.  Expect a shootout Saturday on the Smurf Turf as this game goes way over the 65.5 point total.

Current Record: 14-9-1 (Last Week: 2-1)

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