2010 NFL Weekly Locks: Week 9


It was another rough week for our picks as neither the Titans, nor the Steelers could come through in the underdog position.  Meanwhile, in Kansas City, two teams that had been scoring points at a torrid pace couldn’t have picked a worse time to have their offenses stall.  The only bright spot of the weekend came on Monday, when the reliable Colts came through with a big win over their division rival Houston Texans.

These developments left us at 1-3 on the week and a disappointing 13-18-1 on the season.  Still plenty of time, but if we want to get back to the .500 mark anytime soon, we will need to turn things around rather quickly, beginning in week 9.

Here is a look at our TotalProSports.com 2010 NFL Weekly Locks for week nine.

The Game: Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens
The Pick: Dolphins +5
The Reason: Perhaps one of the strangest stats you will see withing the entire NFL is the Miami Dolphins home and away records.  While struggling at home with a 0-3 record, the Dolphins have been great on the road, remaining undefeated at 4-0.  This week they travel to Baltimore to take on a tough Ravens team that has yet to lose a game, and while we don’t necessarily believe that the Dolphins will remain unbeaten on the road after this week, a strong effort from their defense should allow them to hang in there and make this a field-goal game.

The Game: New York Jets @ Detroit Lions
The Pick: Jets -4
The Reason: Coming off an embarrassing 9-0 loss to the Green Bay Packers, the Jets should be hungry for a win on the road in Detroit.  The Lions looked impressive in a win over the Redskins last weekend, but much of that was because of the stellar play of Calvin Johnson.  Don’t expect him to have similar success this weekend when he matches up against Darrelle Revis.  The Jets have yet to lose a game on the road this season.  Expect Rex Ryan to have his boys ready for this game, as they will need the win if they want to keep pace with the Patriots for top spot in the AFC East.  That should be enough to get them the win, and the cover.

The Game: New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns
The Pick: Patriots -4
The Reason: As opposed to previous years, the Browns are certainly not a pushover anymore.  However, their 2-5 record is far from impressive.  Coming off a bye, they will be hard pressed to get their third win of the season against a Patriots team that hasn’t been flashy this year, but has continued to get the job done.  The Pats’ weakness is their pass defense, but that shouldn’t be threatened against the Browns’ 23rd-ranked pass offense.   As for the Pats’ offense, what was once a one-dimensional passing attack is now a more balanced mix of both the pass and the run.  Look for them to keep the Browns defense off-balanced as they win this game by at least a touchdown.

Game: Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
Pick: Packers -7
Reason: The Cowboys disappointing season hit an all-time low last weekend when they lost at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars by a score of 35-17.  Now they will travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers on Sunday night, and we don’t expect things to get any better for them.  The biggest hole in the Cowboys game over the past few weeks has been their pass defense, which has allowed four passing touchdowns to each of their past two opposing quarterbacks.  Now they will take on a Packers team that has struggled to run the ball, but has little problem scoring through the air.  Look for Aaron Rodgers to have a big game in front of a prime time audience as the Cowboys’ struggles continue.

Overall Record: 13-18-1 (Last Week’s Record: 1-3)

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