2010 NFL Weekly Locks: Week 13

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We didn’t manage to gain any ground in week 12, but thankfully we did not lose ground either.  While both the Jaguars and the Bucs couldn’t do enough to win their respective games, they were able to put together a strong enough effort to come away with the cover, making those who bet on them, including us, very happy.  As for the Colts and the Steelers, they couldn’t provide betters with the same satisfaction.

Those results left us at 2-2 on the week, and 21-26-1 on the season.  With only five weeks to go, it is crunch time as we look to make a push out of the red and into the green.

Here is a look at our TotalProSports.com 2010 NFL Weekly Locks for week thirteen.

The Game: Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
The Pick: Bears -5
The Reason: It may have been the best kept secret in the NFL earlier in the season, but after a stellar performance during last weekend’s 31-26 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles, the word is out on the Chicago Bears’ defense.  Currently ranked second in scoring defense and fourth in total defense, this Bears unit does most of their damage in the turnover department, ranking second in both interceptions and total turnovers.  That could be a problem for the Lions, who are expected to start Drew Stanton at quarterback.  With Jay Cutler on a roll and Matt Forte always at his best against the Lions, there is no reason to believe the Bears wont remain undefeated in division play, and cover the 5-point spread in the process.

The Game: Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts
The Pick: Colts -5
The Reason: Both the Colts and the Cowboys seem to do most of their damage through the air, ranking first and fifth in passing yards, respectively (their rushing offenses rank 29th and 27th, respectively).  However, the Colts also happen to rank sixth in the league in pass defense, allowing only 13 touchdowns against in 12 games.  As for the Cowboys, their pass defense hasn’t been pretty, allowing the third most touchdowns against in the league (23).  The Colts rarely lose at home, but the Chargers always seem to give them fits.  Chances of them losing two in a row at home?  Slim to none.  Look for the Colts to win this one by at least a touchdown.

Game: Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts
Pick: Over 47.5
Reason: Many of the same things we listed above apply to this pick.  Both teams do most of their damage through the air, and get little done on the ground.  Take into account the fact that both teams rank in the top half of the league in scoring offense, and in the bottom half of the league in scoring defense, and it isn’t hard to see why we think this game will easily go over the 47.5 total.

The Game: Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Pick: Over 48.5
The Reason: The Kansas City Chiefs shouldn’t have any problems scoring in this game.  Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe have been the hottest quarterback-receiver combo in the league, while Jamaal Charles is currently one of the most dynamic running backs in the NFL.  They will be up against a Broncos defense that ranks 20th against the pass, 30th against the run, and last in scoring defense.  As for Denver’s offense, their fourth-ranked passing attack should be able to put up some solid numbers against a Chiefs secondary that is ranked 24th in the league.  In their last meeting during week 10, the Broncos scored over 48.5 points on their own, winning the game by a score of 49-29.  While there  may be a different winner this time around, the total number of points shouldn’t change much as this game goes way over the total.

Overall Record: 21-26-1 (Last Week’s Record: 2-2)

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