NCAA Football Weekly Locks: Week 4

lsu cheerleaders

Michigan State disappointed last week as they were on the wrong end of Notre Dame’s much-anticipated ‘breakout game.’  Thankfully, we had both Oklahoma and Stanford to cover in Saturday’s evening slate.  That resulted in us coming out on top for the second week in a row to open the season.  This week’s NCAA schedule has three match-ups between Top 25 teams.  We have predictions for two of them, as we see the favorites coming out on top in each of our picks for this week.

Here is a look at those favorites.

Game: #2 LSU @ #16 West Virginia
Pick: LSU -5.5
Reason: LSU will face yet another tough test as they take on their third ranked opponent in four games.  Their previous two saw them beat then-No.3 Oregon at a neutral field in the opening week, and No. 25-ranked Mississippi State last Thursday.  They will once again be faced with a tough task as they take on No. 16 West Virginia at Mountaineer Field.  WVU has a strong offense, but so did Oregon and Mississippi and we saw what happened to them.  There is no reason to believe that the same wont happen to the Mountaineers on Saturday.  Look for the Tigers’ defense to silence a raucous home crowd once again, and the return of wide receiver Russell Sheppard should help their offense do enough to get the win and the cover.

Game: Missouri @ #1 Oklahoma
Pick: Oklahoma -19.5
Reason: After beating UConn by 28 and Tulsa by 23, Oklahoma had their first real test of the 2011 season, and they passed it with flying colors, beating Florida State by a score of 23-13.  Besides a convincing 69-0 victory over Western Illinois, Missouri hasn’t looked too sharp, losing to Arizona State and beating Miami of Ohio by a score of 17-6.  The Sooners showed that in addition to having a potent offense with a few Heisman hopefuls, they also have a stout defense that is capable of stopping the best of them.  Missouri surely isn’t the best of them, and they will struggle mightily at Memorial Stadium on Saturday night, losing by more than three touchdowns.

Game: #11 Florida State at #21 Clemson
Pick: Clemson -2.5
Reason: With a 2.5-point spread, we are basically being asked who we believe will win this game.  Our answer to that question is Clemson.  Not only did the Seminoles get beat by Oklahoma last weekend, but they also suffered a barrage of injuries.  In addition to losing a few of their wide receivers, the Noles could also be without starting quarterback EJ Manuel, who sprained his non-throwing shoulder.  Clemson has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings between these two teams and they are coming off an impressive 38-24 come-from-behind victory over Auburn.  Look for them to keep the momentum going as they kick off their ACC schedule with a victory.

Last Week’s Record: (2-1), 2011 Record: (4-2)

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