2011 Weekly NFL Locks: Week 5

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The Detroit Lions came to the rescue once again, as an incredible second half comeback not only gave them the cover against the Dallas Cowboys, but it earned them the victory as well.  That game, along with the Chargers’ rather easy victory over the Dolphins, helped us put up a 2-1 record last weekend and move our record for the year back to .500.  With bye weeks upon us, there are less games to choose from, but we still believe there are plenty of good plays for all you gamblers out there.

Here they are.

Game: Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans
Pick: Under 48
Reason: After struggling defensively last season, the Houston Texans have turned things around in a big way, as the addition of Wade Phillips as defensive coordinator, and Jonathan Joseph and Danieal Manning in the secondary have helped them lower their average points against per game to 17.5.  With Andre Johnson out, the Texans will rely heavily on their running game, and the Raiders should do the same with Darren McFadden.  That should keep the clock running and while their will be points, we don’t believe there will be enough to put this game over the total.

Game: Tennessee Titans @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pick: Titans +3
Reason: The Titans have looked awfully impressive this season.  After losing their opening week game to the Jacksonville Jaguars, they have beat the Ravens, Broncos and Browns in the last three weeks.  Much of their success offensively has come through the air, as Matt Hasselbeck has helped revive the Titans passing game.  As for the Steelers’ quarterback, Ben Roethlisberger, he will be playing with a banged-up ankle, and he isn’t the only important member of Pittsburgh’s offense that is dealing with an injury.  Rashard Mendenhall is expected to miss the game with a hamstring injury and the Steelers will also be without two of their starting offensive linemen.  Look for the Titans to take advantage of these injuries as they get to Big Ben early and often, and come out of Pittsburgh with the win.

Game: New York Jets @ New England Patriots
Pick: Patriots -7
Reason: The last time the Patriots and Jets hooked up, Rex Ryan’s boys went to New England and shocked everyone with a 28-21 playoff victory.  You can bet Bill Belichick will be out for revenge, and we believe he will get it.  The Jets have not looked good this season, losing their last two games to the Raiders and the Ravens, each by double-digits.  Their offense has looked terrible and their defense hasn’t been it’s usual dominant self.  As for the Patriots, their defense has struggled mightily, but that isn’t much of a problem when your offense is putting up numbers like that have.  Look for Brady to come out firing as he and Belichick will not only want to win this game, but they will want to make a statement as well.

Last Week’s Record: (2-1), 2011 Record: (5-5-2)

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