2011 Weekly NFL Locks: Week 8

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The heavy favorites let us down last weekend as the Packers couldn’t cover their 9.5-point spread, while the Baltimore Ravens went on to lose their game straight-up.  Thankfully, Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos were able to mount a miraculous comeback and give us one win on the weekend, leaving us with a 10-9-2 record on the season.

We’ll look to rebound in week 8 with the following picks.

Game: New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pick: Packers -9.5
Reason: Tom Brady is 6-1 in his career against the Steelers and 4-1 in five career starts at Heinz Field.  The Patriots as a team have won five of their last six trips to Pittsburgh and their spread formations and ability to throw the ball down the field should keep the Steelers defense off-balanced all day long.  Despite a 5-2 record, the Steelers are only 3-4 against the spread this season.  As for the Pats, they are 4-2 ATS and should improve upon that record with a win at Heinz Field on Sunday.

Game: Washington Redskins @ Buffalo Bills
Pick: Bills -4.5
Reason: This game may be playerd at a neutral field, as it is set to take place at the Rogers Center in Toronto, Canada, but a majority of the fans in attendance will undoubtedly be rooting for the Bills.  Buffalo has failed to win in each of their last three visits to Toronto, but this is clearly not the same Bills teams as those who have traveled north of the boarder in the past.  The Redskins are a banged-up team, and their only win in their last four games was an unimpressive 7-point victory over the winless Rams.  Look for a well-rested Bills team to come out of their bye week with an easy victory in front of their Canadian fans.

Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ Seattle Seahawks
Pick: Seahawks +2
Reason: As many of us already know, the Seahawks are a completely different team when playing in front of the hometown fans at CenturyLink Field.  They have covered the spread in both of their home games this season and the crowd certainly will not make things easy for Bengals rookie quarterback Andy Dalton.  The Seahawks have covered or pushed in each of their last four games and they should continue to find success at home as they come away with the win against Cincinnati on Sunday.

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