2011 Weekly NFL Locks: Week 9

49ers cheerleader

The Bills finally found success in Toronto, but their victory over the Redskins would turn out to be our only win in week 8. As for the losses, those would come courtesy of the Patriots , who were finally solved by the Steelers, and the Bengals, who continue to surprise just about everyone. The 1-2 weekend has moved us to .500 on the season, with a 11-11-2 record.

Here is a look at three games we like for week 9.

Game: San Francisco 49ers @ Washington Redskins
Pick: 49ers -4
Reason: No one seems to be able to run the ball against the 49ers this season, as they have yet to allow a rushing touchdown this season and are yielding only 73.4 yards against per game on the ground.  That is especially bad news for the Washington Redskins, who will likely have to rely on the arm of John Beck to win them this game.  San Francisco is 6-0-1 ATS this season and has already had success on the east coast against the Lions, Bengals and Eagles.  Look for them to continue their impressive run with an easy victory in Washington.

Game: New York Giants @ New England Patriots
Pick: Over 51
Reason: The New England Patriots are incredible at home and that is largely a result of the fact that their defense is almost unstoppable there.  Eight of their last nine home games have gone over the total and they have averaged 28.3 points per game at home this season.  The Giants have gone over in five of their last seven games and they are averaging 24.9 points per game this season.  Both defenses have looked vulnerable.  We expect the high-powered offenses of both teams to expose the weak defenses and put plenty of points on the board in this game.

Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans
Pick: Bengals +2.5
Reason: The Bengals have been quite the surprise this season, as few expected them to post a 5-2 record seven games into the season.  They are 6-1 against the spread and have been solid defensively, ranking ninth against the pass, second against the rush, and fourth in scoring defense.  The Titans’ inability to run the ball should make them one-dimensional.  Look for Marvin Lewis and the Bengals defense to take advantage of that, as we expect them to come away with the cover and the impressive road victory.

2011 Record: (11-11-2), Last Week: (1-2)

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