NCAA Football Weekly Locks: Week 11

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Some sluggish play from the Nebraska Cornhuskers and Alabama’s inability to kick a kick-goal if their life depended on it resulted in two losses for us during week 10.  Luckily Houston was able to come through for us and salvage one victory, leaving us at 1-2 last week and 17-10 on the season.  With only a few more weeks remaining, we are looking to improve our record from a respectable one to an incredible one.

Here are the picks that we believe will help us do just that.

Game: #2 Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech
Pick: Over 78
Reason: Oklahoma State has gone iver in four of their last five games, with the other game resulting in a push.  They are also averaging a 50.1 points per game and 387.6 passing yards per game, both good enough for second in the nation.  They will be up against a Texas tech team that is scoring 36.8 points per game and is allowing 34.2 points against per game.  Texas Tech has also gone over the total in seven of their last eight games.  Both teams have strong passing games and weak defenses.  Look for this contest to turn into a shootout and go over the total.

Game: #7 Oregon @ #4 Stanford
Pick: Stanford -3
Reason: In addition to having one of the best offenses in the nation (48.2 points per game, third in the nation), Stanford also has one of the best defenses (16.6 points against per game, 11th in the nation).  Stanford is also 9-0 straight up and against the spread this season, while Oregon is 5-4 against the spread.  With home-field advantage and a spot in the national championship game on the line, don’t expect Stanford to let this opportunity to slip away.  We expect the to win and cover the spread.

Game: #3 Alabama @ Mississippi State
Pick: Alabama -17.5
Reason: Despite losing to LSU last weekend, Alabama still has a chance to squeak into the National Championship game, as they are ranked third int he nation in the BCS rankings.  They are 8-1 straight-up and 7-2 against the spread this season.  As for Mississippi State, they are 4-5 against the spread this season.  Alabama has covered the spread in the last three meetings between these two teams this season.  Look for them to be fired up after last weeks loss, as they should blow out Mississippi State and cover the spread in the process.

Last Week’s Record: (1-2), 2011 Record: (17-10)

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