NCAA Football Weekly Locks: Week 12

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It was a terrible weekend for us last week as Stanford was pounded by the Oregon Ducks offense, Alabama fell just half-a-point short of covering their 17.5-point spread, and Oklahoma State and Texas Tech were one touchdown away from going over the total in their game. That resulted in a disappointing 0-3 week, our first of the season. We will certainly do all that we can in order to ensure that there is not a second.

Here is a look at our picks for week 12,

Game: #13 Kansas State @ #23 Texas
Pick: Kansas State +8
Reason: Kansas State is 8-2 on the season, 8-2 against the spread, and they have covered in four of their last five games.  As for the Longhorns, they have covered the spread in only two of their last five games.  The Wildcats have dominated the head-to-head series between these two teams over the past few decades, having won five of the seven meetings and covering the spread all seven times.  Kansas State’s only losses this season have come against Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.  Look for them to at least keep things close against Texas and possibly come away with the road victory.

Game: SMU @ #11 Houston
Pick: Houston -20.5
Reason: Houston is an impressive 10-0 this season and they are 8-2 against the spread.  They have covered the spread in each of their last five games, while SMU has failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.  The Mustangs have fallen on hard times as of late, losing three of their last four and watching their record drop to 6-4 on the season.  Look for the Cougars to take advantage of a slumping SMU team as they should put up more than enough points to come away with the win and the cover.

Game: #7 Clemson @ North Carolina State
Pick: Clemson -7.5
Reason: The Tigers have had themselves quite the season thus far, having won nine of their ten games and they have already clinched a spot in the ACC title game.  Don’t expect them to let down, as they will want to head into the Conference Championship game on a high note after suffering through disappointing efforts in each of their last two games.  The Tigers have failed to cover the spread in both of those games (a 31-28 win over Wake Forest and a 31-17 loss to Georgia Tech), but they had covered the spread in seven of their eight games before that.   As for NC State, they are a disappointing 3-6-1 ATS this season.  Don’t let the Tigers’ recent troubles worry you.  They are the better team and they should prove that by winning this game by more than a touchdown.

Last Week’s Record: (0-3), 2011 Record: (17-13)

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