NCAA Football Weekly Locks: Week 13

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Week 12 provided us with exactly what we were looking for; a winning weekend.  While the Clemson Tigers’ continued struggles cost us one game, we were able to make up for it thanks to victories from Kansas Sate and Houston.  That leaves us at 19-14 heading into rivalry weekend.  There are several intriguing match-ups scheduled for what should be an exciting Saturday of college football.

Here is a look at three of those match-ups we like against the spread.

Game: #2 Alabama @ #24 Auburn
Pick: Auburn +21
Reason: It is tough to go against Alabama in this game, but with a 21-point spread in an Iron Bowl, you almost have to go with the underdog.  These two rivals have a knack for playing close games against one another, no matter where they find themselves ranked.  Only once in their last nine meetings has the margin of victory been more than 10 points.  It is hard to believe that the Tigers will come out on top in this game, but with home-field advantage on their side they should be able to keep it within three touchdowns.

Game: #22 Notre Dame @ #6 Stanford
Pick: Stanford -6.5
Reason: The Stanford Cardinals have been near-perfect this season, winning ten of their 11 games and covering the spread in nine of them.  Ad for the Fighting Irish, they have a respectable 8-3 record, but are a terrible 4-6-1 against the spread.  The Cards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two games, but welcoming rival Notre Dame to Stanford Stadium should provide Andrew Luck and company with a much needed spark.  Look for them to win the game by at least a touchdown.

Game: #17 Clemson @ #12 South Carolina
Pick: South Carolina -3.5
Reason: For much of the season we have been riding the Clemson Tigers, and while that move did pay off in a big way at the beginning of the season, it has failed us miserable as of late.  After going undefeated through the first three games of the season, the Tigers have lost two of their last three and have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games.  The Tigers have struggled against the run at times this season and they will be up against a Gamecocks team that has averaged nearly 200 yards per game on the ground.  Look for the Gamecock’s pass defense to keep Tajh Boyd in check and their running game should do enough on offense to earn them the win and the cover.

Last Week’s Record: (2-1), 2011 Record: (19-14)

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