The Dallas Cowboys started off their 2019 season 3-0 and full of expectations to possibly compete for a Super Bowl, until they suddenly fell into a 3-game losing streak, ultimately ending the year at 8-8.
Dallas would part ways with head coach Jason Garrett and sign former Packers head coach Mike McCarthy. The team has since drafted standout WR CeeDee Lamb to bolster up their offense.
When you add all of that up, it equals the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) giving the Cowboys the fifth-highest chance to win the Super Bowl. It also predicted their win-loss record for 2020.
“Dallas Cowboys: 9.3-6.7”
“…when we do look down at the No. 5 spot in both FPI’s ratings and chance to win the Super Bowl, we see … the Dallas Cowboys.
Dallas finished 8-8 last season, failed to reach the playoffs and fired longtime coach Jason Garrett, replacing him with former Packers coach Mike McCarthy. So why the love for the Cowboys all of a sudden? Well, FPI actually always loved them.
Despite the mediocre .500 record, the Cowboys finished the 2019 season as FPI’s seventh-ranked team. That was fueled almost exclusively by the team’s offense, which finished third in efficiency, while the defense was merely average. The Cowboys didn’t win enough, but they were good enough.
As mentioned, offense is more consistent year to year. So with many of the key ingredients back — including quarterback Dak Prescott, wide receiver Amari Cooper and offensive linemen Tyron Smith, La’el Collins and Zack Martin — there’s every reason to be bullish on the Dallas offense. And it’s a big reason to be bullish on the Cowboys overall. McCarthy might bring a pass-heavier approach, and while it is not represented in the model, it supports the notion even more. Dallas has a 5% chance to win the Super Bowl and a 48% chance to win the NFC East.”
For the Cowboys franchise, they are still trying to advance to the NFC Championship Game for the first time since winning the Super Bowl in 1995.